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It hit 504,000 in the year to June 2022, and analysis by migration experts suggests the count could be as high as 997,000 when the official figures are published in the coming weeks. Annual net migration peaked at 331,000 before the Brexit vote in 2016. But there was a promise that “overall numbers will come down”. In their 2019 election manifesto, the Conservatives did not repeat David Cameron’s promise to get net migration – the number of people moving to Britain minus those in the UK moving overseas – below 100,000.

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The final decision on how to restrict foreign students from bringing in dependents – which has soared in recent years – is understood to be with Mr Sunak now. Some senior Cabinet ministers are also calling for an increase in the £26,000 salary limit needed for foreign work visas, deeming it too low – though no hard proposals have yet been drafted. Mrs Braverman has pushed for restrictions on the number of dependents that foreign students can bring to the UK, but the package is understood to have been watered down after resistance from Gillian Keegan, the Education Secretary. However, there are Cabinet splits on the approach to bringing down legal migration. That was our 2019 manifesto pledge and what we must deliver.”

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Brexit enables us to build a high-skilled, high wage economy that is less dependent on low-skilled foreign labour. “There is no good reason why we can’t train up enough HGV drivers, butchers or fruit pickers. And we mustn’t forget how to do things for ourselves. “But we need to get overall immigration numbers down. High-skilled workers support economic growth. So that we all have a say on what works for our country. In her speech on Monday, Mrs Braverman will say: “I voted and campaigned for Brexit because I wanted Britain to control migration. However, the Government is struggling to convince workers who left jobs during the pandemic to return, and senior Tories fear that immigration is seen as a quick fix for vacancies. Mr Sunak has put growing the economy and boosting the UK’s productivity, which has lagged behind other major economies for years, at the centre of his pitch to voters. Mrs Braverman’s intervention comes after days of criticism aimed at Mr Sunak from some Conservative MPs, many of them prominent supporters of Boris Johnson, who are unhappy that the Prime Minister abandoned a promise to scrap all EU laws by the end of 2023 and oversaw the loss of more than 1,000 Tory councillors at this month’s local elections.

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The Tories made a manifesto pledge in 2019 to bring down overall numbers, but the official figures are expected to show net migration close to 700,000 within weeks, with analysis suggesting that it could top one million this year. The Home Secretary will use a speech at the National Conservatism Conference on Monday to argue that “it’s not xenophobic to say that mass and rapid migration is unsustainable” amid a Cabinet split over the scale of immigration since the Brexit vote. Suella Braverman will demand that Rishi Sunak deliver the Tory manifesto promise to reduce net migration so that Britain does not forget how to “do things for ourselves”.












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